Why at Best Bet Soccer Selections do we favour the trixie?
There are many reasons but to appreciate them you must first grasp the fact that soccer betting odds, particularly on teams that can be identified as having an outstanding winning opportunity, are fundamentaly low. Yes, by careful selection of value bets consistent profits can be made. But it is necessary to appreciate that matches regularly throw up surprise results so the policy must be to minimise losses when they arise. At Best Bet Soccer Selections we believe that the “trixie” is the right bet to achieve this.
Obviously the lower the number of selections the less the likelihood of a rogue result affecting us and, conversely, the greater the number of selections the higher the chance of an upset. Against this it is necessary to measure the compounding effect of multiple bets and the possibility of low stake, high return bets – if successful. But try a few dry runs. Take our three selections this weekend and then add another three of your own for a six match accumulator. There are three possible outcomes for each selection – win, lose or draw. What is the total of possible outcomes? 3 x 3 x 3 x 3 x 3 x 3 – thats a possible 729 combinations of results. If you make six win selections all at odds of 4/6 the potential return is a little over 20/1! If they’re all at even money the return is only 63/1. No wonder the bookmakers like high number multiple and accumulator bets!
At Best Bet Soccer we have developed a formula to consistently make a small number of winning selections each week. By limiting our selections to only the three top rated or top value selections we identify we significantly reduce the chances of that rogue result creeping in. Over the last few weeks we have pushed the boundaries to the limit and on a couple of occassions included picks which were really outside the strict application of our criteria – and paid for it. We’ll now be restricting ourselves to our top rated selections for a few weeks to consolidate our winnings in readiness for the start of the 2009/10 European season. The UK Premier League kicks off on 15 August!
Back to the trixie.
Over a period of time we’ve weighed up the value of various combination bets.
We totally rule our single bets. At the short odds generally available two winners may not make up for one loser. We therefore concentrate on low number combinations. Our experience shows us that the fourth ranked selection produced by our system is much higher risk than our top three selections. With four selections the full perm of doubles and trebles plus the accumulator of the four produces eleven bets. If one of those loses we’re down to a maximum of only four successful combinations and if a second selection loses we’re down to only one!
With the trixie we do not have that higher risk fourth selection and we have a much lower number of possible permutations – only three doubles and a treble. We minimise our losses if two selections win and make acceptable profits if all three win. Have a look at the history page on the bestbetsoccer.com website. It may not seem earth shattering but the trend is a gradually increasing accumulation of winnings. We’re sure you will agree that regular winnings and minimised losses are far preferable to lose, lose, lose – week, after week, after week!
We recommend a staking plan to apply with the trixie so you can build up your betting bank to enable you to stake at levels to generate quite worthwhile returns using our Best Bet Soccer Selections.
We’ll be publishing our selections for the weekend late on Friday or early on Saturday. Look out for them.